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Red159
876837.6
67048.1
541962.2
Blue99
466920.1
84665.1
681434.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16512105010015020025015999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+38Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points27
30Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +35
19Coral scored#10
69Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
12Processor points6
16Net points20
28Algae points26
97Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#5
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#21
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
6Foul points6
159Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.20.4
61.662.1
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End8.7
blue by 2.9
846
#4
65.11.6
62.961.4
Auto16.1
Teleop42.6
End6.5
Second
670
#18
48.10.4
48.048.5
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End6.1
red by 14.1
6814
#26
34.01.6
28.226.6
Auto8.3
Teleop24.3
End1.4
Third
8768
#13
37.60.4
36.837.2
Auto4.8
Teleop30.7
End2.1
red by 17.5
4669
#22
20.11.6
25.323.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
71%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed