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Red162
947053.2
661942.9
84160.2
Blue134
220436.7
325736.0
879342.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14298050200162134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+42Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points3
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
21Coral scored#16
76Coral points57
5Processor algae#3
8Net algae#8
30Processor points18
32Net points32
62Algae points50
138Total teleop107
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +14
4Cage & park18
4Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
162Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#9
60.21.8
52.554.3
Auto12.4
Teleop40.3
End7.5
red by 17.3
8793
#15
42.82.3
34.636.8
Auto10.5
Teleop27.7
End4.6
Second
53.21.8
47.649.4
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End1.7
red by 16.5
2204
#24
36.72.3
35.838.1
Auto8.8
Teleop25.9
End2.1
Third
42.91.8
34.936.7
Auto4.9
Teleop35.0
End3.0
red by 6.9
3257
#20
36.02.3
29.431.7
Auto2.1
Teleop32.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
35%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned