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Red150
84665.1
325736.0
84160.2
Blue127
541962.2
415940.4
203518.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16212750100200250150127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+5Teleop
+17Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
7Coral scored#10
37Coral points48
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +19
18Coral scored#12
63Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
81Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#10
7L3#5
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
6Foul points0
150Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#4
65.10.4
61.460.9
Auto16.1
Teleop42.6
End6.5
red by 2.9
62.20.5
62.162.6
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End8.7
Second
841
#9
60.20.4
54.353.8
Auto12.4
Teleop40.3
End7.5
red by 19.8
4159
#12
40.40.5
40.240.7
Auto12.9
Teleop26.3
End1.1
Third
3257
#20
36.00.4
31.731.3
Auto2.1
Teleop32.1
End1.8
red by 17.7
2035
#25
18.30.5
17.518.0
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned