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Red152
876837.6
135146.8
641857.2
Blue117
681434.0
879342.8
550758.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1441256080100160180200220152117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+39Teleop
+33Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave0
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points19
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +21
19Coral scored#14
69Coral points50
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
18Processor points12
12Net points16
30Algae points28
99Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#4
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +6
14Cage & park20
14Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
2Foul points0
152Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.21.1
49.650.7
Auto18.1
Teleop33.2
End5.9
blue by 0.8
58.00.2
56.756.6
Auto20.3
Teleop28.8
End8.9
Second
1351
#11
46.81.1
46.547.6
Auto13.7
Teleop31.6
End1.5
red by 4.0
8793
#15
42.80.2
36.536.3
Auto10.5
Teleop27.7
End4.6
Third
8768
#13
37.61.1
36.938.1
Auto4.8
Teleop30.7
End2.1
red by 3.6
6814
#26
34.00.2
26.326.1
Auto8.3
Teleop24.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned