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Qual 262025 Northern California Invitational
Red83
67048.1
196741.5
466920.1
Blue129
947053.2
835.7
801630.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125130608010014016018083129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+58
Endgame+48
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave9
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points22
23Total auto31
TeleoperatedBlue +50
9Coral scored#18
32Coral points66
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
0Processor points12
12Net points16
12Algae points28
44Total teleop94
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#8
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
2Foul points0
83Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#18
48.12.1
48.5→46.4
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End6.1
blue by 5.1
9470
#5
53.20.7
49.4→50.2
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End1.7
Second
1967
#17
41.52.1
40.1→38.0
Auto11.3
Teleop29.2
End0.9
red by 5.8
8
#23
35.70.7
42.8→43.5
Auto8.1
Teleop23.7
End3.9
Third
4669
#22
20.12.1
23.7→21.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.9
End1.3
blue by 10.8
8016
#19
30.80.7
25.8→26.6
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed