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Red95
661942.9
681434.0
879342.8
Blue116
550758.0
490427.6
510443.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9812705015020025095116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+3
Endgame+9
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave9
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points14
21Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +1
14Coral scored#14
52Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
66Total teleop67
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +6
8Cage & park14
8Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points12
95Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.3
36.736.4
Auto4.9
Teleop35.0
End3.0
blue by 15.1
58.01.0
57.756.7
Auto20.3
Teleop28.8
End8.9
Second
8793
#15
42.80.3
36.836.5
Auto10.5
Teleop27.7
End4.6
blue by 0.2
43.11.0
36.735.6
Auto6.0
Teleop29.8
End7.3
Third
6814
#26
34.00.3
26.626.3
Auto8.3
Teleop24.3
End1.4
red by 6.4
4904
#16
27.61.0
24.723.7
Auto5.8
Teleop21.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned