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Red140
213557.3
67048.1
84043.7
Blue181
661942.9
415940.4
84665.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145151100120140160180140181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+45
Endgame+35
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave3
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points30
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +35
18Coral scored#28
65Coral points100
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
93Total teleop128
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#13
5L2#9
3L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points6
140Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.30.4
47.047.4
Auto16.6
Teleop37.7
End3.1
blue by 7.8
846
#4
65.12.5
60.963.4
Auto16.1
Teleop42.6
End6.5
Second
670
#18
48.10.4
46.446.8
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End6.1
red by 5.2
42.92.5
36.438.8
Auto4.9
Teleop35.0
End3.0
Third
840
#10
43.70.4
40.440.8
Auto5.4
Teleop33.6
End4.7
red by 3.4
4159
#12
40.42.5
40.743.1
Auto12.9
Teleop26.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned