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Red80
801630.8
466920.1
490427.6
Blue108
203518.3
947053.2
325736.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6811105010015020080108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points9
17Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +36
14Coral scored#18
49Coral points63
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
59Total teleop95
Reef
8L4#9
5L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
80Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8016
#19
30.80.5
26.627.1
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End2.3
blue by 22.4
53.20.6
50.250.7
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End1.7
Second
4904
#16
27.60.5
23.724.3
Auto5.8
Teleop21.3
End0.5
blue by 8.4
3257
#20
36.00.6
31.331.9
Auto2.1
Teleop32.1
End1.8
Third
4669
#22
20.10.5
21.722.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.9
End1.3
red by 1.8
2035
#25
18.30.6
18.018.5
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed