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Red96
876837.6
84043.7
466920.1
Blue85
903841.3
203518.3
801630.8
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113890501001502009685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+17Teleop
+21Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
16Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +28
12Coral scored#7
44Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
76Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points10
96Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
#10
43.70.3
40.840.5
Auto5.4
Teleop33.6
End4.7
red by 2.5
9038
#14
41.30.7
40.539.8
Auto12.5
Teleop28.8
End-0.0
Second
8768
#13
37.60.3
38.137.7
Auto4.8
Teleop30.7
End2.1
red by 6.8
8016
#19
30.80.7
27.126.4
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End2.3
Third
4669
#22
20.10.3
22.221.9
Auto4.9
Teleop13.9
End1.3
red by 1.8
2035
#25
18.30.7
18.517.8
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed