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Qual 382025 Northern California Invitational
Red167
510443.1
196741.5
641857.2
Blue169
84043.7
84665.1
903841.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13515950100200250167169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave3
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points26
44Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +15
16Coral scored#17
57Coral points62
3Processor algae#6
8Net algae#6
18Processor points36
32Net points24
50Algae points60
107Total teleop122
Reef
6L4#7
8L3#7
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
2Foul points2
167Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#2
57.22.3
51.4→53.7
Auto18.1
Teleop33.2
End5.9
blue by 7.9
846
#4
65.11.3
64.8→66.1
Auto16.1
Teleop42.6
End6.5
Second
5104
#7
43.12.3
36.7→39.0
Auto6.0
Teleop29.8
End7.3
blue by 0.7
840
#10
43.71.3
40.5→41.8
Auto5.4
Teleop33.6
End4.7
Third
1967
#17
41.52.3
39.4→41.7
Auto11.3
Teleop29.2
End0.9
red by 0.2
9038
#14
41.31.3
39.8→41.1
Auto12.5
Teleop28.8
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsEarned60%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned