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Red124
67048.1
415940.4
84160.2
Blue93
135146.8
466920.1
490427.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166945015020025012493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+27Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points19
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +16
20Coral scored#17
72Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
90Total teleop74
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#8
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#24
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
124Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#9
60.21.9
55.753.8
Auto12.4
Teleop40.3
End7.5
red by 13.3
1351
#11
46.80.5
46.746.1
Auto13.7
Teleop31.6
End1.5
Second
670
#18
48.11.9
47.045.1
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End6.1
red by 20.5
4904
#16
27.60.5
27.126.5
Auto5.8
Teleop21.3
End0.5
Third
4159
#12
40.41.9
43.341.4
Auto12.9
Teleop26.3
End1.1
red by 20.3
4669
#22
20.10.5
21.921.3
Auto4.9
Teleop13.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed