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Red166
84043.7
541962.2
947053.2
Blue157
681434.0
213557.3
876837.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171109050150200250166157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+13
Endgame+3
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +6
22Coral scored#23
80Coral points82
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
108Total teleop114
Reef
9L4#10
8L3#8
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
12Foul points0
166Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.20.3
62.462.1
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End8.7
red by 4.9
57.33.1
48.451.5
Auto16.6
Teleop37.7
End3.1
Second
53.20.3
54.954.6
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End1.7
red by 15.6
8768
#13
37.63.1
35.038.2
Auto4.8
Teleop30.7
End2.1
Third
840
#10
43.70.3
41.841.5
Auto5.4
Teleop33.6
End4.7
red by 9.7
6814
#26
34.03.1
26.930.0
Auto8.3
Teleop24.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
73%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed