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Red114
550758.0
876837.6
220436.7
Blue120
801630.8
835.7
84665.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1481560100200300400114120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+2Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points23
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +9
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points52
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
12Processor points18
8Net points8
20Algae points26
69Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#5
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
2Foul points0
114Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.02.0
64.362.3
Auto20.3
Teleop28.8
End8.9
blue by 7.1
846
#4
65.12.1
63.461.3
Auto16.1
Teleop42.6
End6.5
Second
8768
#13
37.62.0
37.135.1
Auto4.8
Teleop30.7
End2.1
red by 1.9
8
#23
35.72.1
55.653.5
Auto8.1
Teleop23.7
End3.9
Third
2204
#24
36.72.0
41.039.0
Auto8.8
Teleop25.9
End2.1
red by 5.9
8016
#19
30.82.1
32.330.2
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned