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Red156
213557.3
541962.2
903841.3
Blue124
490427.6
325736.0
67048.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171110050150200250156124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+30Teleop
+30Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points14
29Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +21
22Coral scored#22
79Coral points78
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
24Processor points12
20Net points12
44Algae points24
123Total teleop102
Reef
12L4#11
6L3#5
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
2Foul points0
156Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.20.5
64.764.1
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End8.7
red by 14.1
670
#18
48.10.7
52.653.3
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End6.1
Second
57.30.5
43.743.1
Auto16.6
Teleop37.7
End3.1
red by 21.4
3257
#20
36.00.7
31.031.6
Auto2.1
Teleop32.1
End1.8
Third
9038
#14
41.30.5
47.747.2
Auto12.5
Teleop28.8
End-0.0
red by 13.7
4904
#16
27.60.7
25.326.0
Auto5.8
Teleop21.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsEarned25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsMissed