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Red117
661942.9
203518.3
510443.1
Blue114
67048.1
135146.8
84665.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91179050150200250117114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave0
2Coral scored#6
12Coral points30
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +21
16Coral scored#9
59Coral points34
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
18Processor points18
12Net points16
30Algae points34
89Total teleop68
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points2
117Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.11.5
39.040.4
Auto6.0
Teleop29.8
End7.3
blue by 22.1
846
#4
65.13.0
66.163.1
Auto16.1
Teleop42.6
End6.5
Second
42.91.5
40.942.4
Auto4.9
Teleop35.0
End3.0
blue by 5.2
670
#18
48.13.0
45.142.1
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End6.1
Third
2035
#25
18.31.5
15.116.6
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.0
blue by 28.6
1351
#11
46.83.0
46.143.1
Auto13.7
Teleop31.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned