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Red142
550758.0
641857.2
220436.7
Blue147
203518.3
135146.8
67048.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162106050150200250142147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
12Coral scored#7
62Coral points35
65Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +48
9Coral scored#18
33Coral points65
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
51Total teleop99
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#9
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#32
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
142Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.00.1
56.956.8
Auto20.3
Teleop28.8
End8.9
red by 9.9
670
#18
48.10.9
44.645.5
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End6.1
Second
57.20.1
56.156.0
Auto18.1
Teleop33.2
End5.9
red by 10.4
1351
#11
46.80.9
43.344.2
Auto13.7
Teleop31.6
End1.5
Third
2204
#24
36.70.1
35.635.5
Auto8.8
Teleop25.9
End2.1
red by 18.4
2035
#25
18.30.9
16.417.4
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.0