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Red109
196741.5
325736.0
661942.9
Blue124
510443.1
84043.7
415940.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135139050100200250300109124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+25
Endgame+29
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points21
16Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +14
15Coral scored#12
53Coral points43
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
67Total teleop81
Reef
9L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +15
24Foul points10
109Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.91.0
43.842.8
Auto4.9
Teleop35.0
End3.0
blue by 0.8
840
#10
43.70.5
43.442.9
Auto5.4
Teleop33.6
End4.7
Second
1967
#17
41.51.0
42.441.4
Auto11.3
Teleop29.2
End0.9
blue by 1.6
43.10.5
43.242.7
Auto6.0
Teleop29.8
End7.3
Third
3257
#20
36.01.0
36.935.9
Auto2.1
Teleop32.1
End1.8
blue by 4.4
4159
#12
40.40.5
40.139.6
Auto12.9
Teleop26.3
End1.1