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Red2
84665.1
541962.2
801630.8
Blue0
997121.7
997021.7
997221.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19239010015025030020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
+2Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto0
Teleoperatedlevel
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop0
Reef
0L4#0
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +2
2Foul points0
2Total score0

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#4
65.13.6
66.562.9
Auto16.1
Teleop42.6
End6.5
red by 43.4
9970
UnrankedDQ
21.73.1
27.524.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.4
End1.2
Second
62.23.6
63.660.0
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End8.7
red by 40.5
9971
UnrankedDQ
21.73.1
27.524.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.4
End1.2
Third
8016
#19
30.83.6
32.228.6
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End2.3
red by 9.1
9972
UnrankedDQ
21.73.1
27.524.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.4
End1.2