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Red205
325736.0
213557.3
415940.4
Blue114
876837.6
135146.8
196741.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134143050100200250300205114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+85Teleop
+85Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave6
9Coral scored#2
44Coral points10
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +57
34Coral scored#16
123Coral points58
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
18Processor points18
12Net points20
30Algae points38
153Total teleop96
Reef
14L4#6
12L3#4
7L2#5
10L1 · trough#3
49Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
6Foul points0
205Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.34.5
52.957.3
Auto16.6
Teleop37.7
End3.1
red by 10.5
1351
#11
46.81.7
45.043.3
Auto13.7
Teleop31.6
End1.5
Second
4159
#12
40.44.5
35.640.1
Auto12.9
Teleop26.3
End1.1
blue by 1.1
1967
#17
41.51.7
44.142.4
Auto11.3
Teleop29.2
End0.9
Third
3257
#20
36.04.5
32.536.9
Auto2.1
Teleop32.1
End1.8
blue by 1.6
8768
#13
37.61.7
39.337.6
Auto4.8
Teleop30.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned62%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed