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Red63
203518.3
490427.6
835.7
Blue146
84043.7
510443.1
879342.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7913905010015020025063146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+73
Endgame+71
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +20
9Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points26
9Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +53
10Coral scored#18
36Coral points65
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
6Processor points18
4Net points16
10Algae points34
46Total teleop99
Reef
3L4#9
3L3#5
1L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
2Foul points14
63Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#23
35.71.5
37.235.7
Auto8.1
Teleop23.7
End3.9
blue by 8.0
840
#10
43.70.4
43.043.4
Auto5.4
Teleop33.6
End4.7
Second
4904
#16
27.61.5
28.727.2
Auto5.8
Teleop21.3
End0.5
blue by 15.5
43.10.4
42.743.2
Auto6.0
Teleop29.8
End7.3
Third
2035
#25
18.31.5
17.916.4
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.0
blue by 24.5
8793
#15
42.80.4
39.740.1
Auto10.5
Teleop27.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsMissed