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Red211
541962.2
641857.2
84665.1
Blue113
947053.2
903841.3
220436.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19612950100150250300211113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+72Teleop
+92Endgame
+98Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
9Leave0
8Coral scored#4
42Coral points19
51Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +40
23Coral scored#16
82Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
122Total teleop82
Reef
10L4#7
8L3#5
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#25
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +98
12Foul points6
211Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#4
65.11.1
65.466.5
Auto16.1
Teleop42.6
End6.5
red by 11.9
53.21.6
52.150.5
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End1.7
Second
62.21.1
62.563.6
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End8.7
red by 21.0
9038
#14
41.31.6
41.239.6
Auto12.5
Teleop28.8
End-0.0
Third
57.21.1
55.156.1
Auto18.1
Teleop33.2
End5.9
red by 20.5
2204
#24
36.71.6
37.235.6
Auto8.8
Teleop25.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsEarned41%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed