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Red159
67048.1
550758.0
801630.8
Blue149
681434.0
545832.0
84160.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138121050100200250159149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+8Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave9
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points28
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +19
20Coral scored#18
73Coral points64
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
24Processor points18
20Net points16
44Algae points34
117Total teleop98
Reef
8L4#8
9L3#7
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
159Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.02.1
54.856.9
Auto20.3
Teleop28.8
End8.9
blue by 2.2
841
#9
60.22.1
55.357.5
Auto12.4
Teleop40.3
End7.5
Second
670
#18
48.12.1
42.544.6
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End6.1
red by 14.1
6814
#26
34.02.1
31.934.0
Auto8.3
Teleop24.3
End1.4
Third
8016
#19
30.82.1
30.132.2
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End2.3
blue by 1.2
5458
#21
32.02.1
29.932.0
Auto7.1
Teleop23.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned