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Red114
325736.0
84043.7
466920.1
Blue128
490427.6
876837.6
661942.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93117050150200114128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+12
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +19
19Coral scored#23
67Coral points82
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
91Total teleop110
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#8
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#30
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points2
114Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
#10
43.71.5
41.543.0
Auto5.4
Teleop33.6
End4.7
red by 0.8
42.91.2
42.743.8
Auto4.9
Teleop35.0
End3.0
Second
3257
#20
36.01.5
30.932.5
Auto2.1
Teleop32.1
End1.8
blue by 1.6
8768
#13
37.61.2
38.239.3
Auto4.8
Teleop30.7
End2.1
Third
4669
#22
20.11.5
18.520.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.9
End1.3
blue by 7.5
4904
#16
27.61.2
27.528.7
Auto5.8
Teleop21.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed