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Red155
681434.0
84160.2
135146.8
Blue173
84665.1
220436.7
510443.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12914950100200250155173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave0
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points27
40Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +23
19Coral scored#24
67Coral points88
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
99Total teleop122
Reef
11L4#9
8L3#6
5L2#8
3L1 · trough#6
34Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
155Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#9
60.21.9
53.455.3
Auto12.4
Teleop40.3
End7.5
blue by 5.0
846
#4
65.12.3
63.165.4
Auto16.1
Teleop42.6
End6.5
Second
1351
#11
46.81.9
43.145.0
Auto13.7
Teleop31.6
End1.5
red by 3.8
43.12.3
40.442.7
Auto6.0
Teleop29.8
End7.3
Third
6814
#26
34.01.9
30.031.9
Auto8.3
Teleop24.3
End1.4
blue by 2.7
2204
#24
36.72.3
34.937.2
Auto8.8
Teleop25.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned