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Red127
213557.3
879342.8
203518.3
Blue120
67048.1
545832.0
903841.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113124050150200250300350400127120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+11Teleop
+9Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points12
29Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +3
19Coral scored#13
68Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#8
12Processor points12
8Net points32
20Algae points44
88Total teleop91
Reef
10L4#5
6L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
10Cage & park12
10Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points2
127Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.31.4
51.552.9
Auto16.6
Teleop37.7
End3.1
red by 9.2
670
#18
48.10.4
42.142.5
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End6.1
Second
8793
#15
42.81.4
38.339.7
Auto10.5
Teleop27.7
End4.6
red by 1.6
9038
#14
41.30.4
40.841.2
Auto12.5
Teleop28.8
End-0.0
Third
2035
#25
18.31.4
16.617.9
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.0
blue by 13.7
5458
#21
32.00.4
29.529.9
Auto7.1
Teleop23.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed63%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed