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Red82
415940.4
466920.1
947053.2
Blue156
661942.9
550758.0
641857.2
21%Model gave it79%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11916305010015020025082156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+60
Endgame+80
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +32
0Leave9
4Coral scored#8
19Coral points42
19Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +28
9Coral scored#16
33Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
53Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#11
4L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
17Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
6Foul points0
82Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.22.5
54.652.1
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End1.7
blue by 4.8
58.00.3
54.554.8
Auto20.3
Teleop28.8
End8.9
Second
4159
#12
40.42.5
38.135.6
Auto12.9
Teleop26.3
End1.1
blue by 16.8
57.20.3
54.855.1
Auto18.1
Teleop33.2
End5.9
Third
4669
#22
20.12.5
21.118.5
Auto4.9
Teleop13.9
End1.3
blue by 22.8
42.90.3
42.442.7
Auto4.9
Teleop35.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned