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Red158
84665.1
801630.8
541962.2
Blue158
510443.1
84043.7
415940.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168130050100200250300350400158158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+18
+6Endgame
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
8Coral scored#5
41Coral points24
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +32
17Coral scored#22
60Coral points78
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
88Total teleop120
Reef
8L4#14
8L3#6
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#36
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points6
158Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#4
65.10.1
62.962.7
Auto16.1
Teleop42.6
End6.5
red by 21.4
840
#10
43.70.3
42.943.2
Auto5.4
Teleop33.6
End4.7
Second
62.20.1
60.059.8
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End8.7
red by 19.2
43.10.3
42.743.0
Auto6.0
Teleop29.8
End7.3
Third
8016
#19
30.80.1
28.628.5
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End2.3
blue by 9.5
4159
#12
40.40.3
39.639.9
Auto12.9
Teleop26.3
End1.1