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Red163
949681.2
919816.7
873849.0
Blue150
58751.6
929817.3
650238.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16911050100150200250163150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+11Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points30
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +1
20Coral scored#19
73Coral points68
4Processor algae#4
5Net algae#6
24Processor points24
20Net points24
44Algae points48
117Total teleop116
Reef
12L4#8
7L3#8
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#35
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
163Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.20.3
80.981.2
Auto18.3
Teleop55.7
End7.2
red by 29.5
587
#3
51.61.0
50.751.6
Auto8.6
Teleop41.5
End1.5
Second
49.00.3
48.749.0
Auto10.2
Teleop36.8
End2.1
red by 10.7
38.31.0
37.338.3
Auto6.8
Teleop30.1
End1.5
Third
9198
#22
16.70.3
16.416.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
blue by 0.6
9298
#18
17.31.0
16.317.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End1.4