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Red99
650238.3
272429.4
1030417.2
Blue32
919816.7
97249.9
345920.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935402040801201401609932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+61Teleop
+61Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
15Coral points1
15Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +56
11Coral scored#2
38Coral points6
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
12Processor points0
12Net points0
24Algae points0
62Total teleop6
Reef
7L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
19Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
6Foul points0
99Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.31.0
36.037.0
Auto6.8
Teleop30.1
End1.5
red by 18.2
3459
#20
20.11.3
16.315.0
Auto2.9
Teleop11.7
End5.5
Second
2724
#13
29.41.0
25.626.6
Auto7.5
Teleop19.4
End2.6
red by 12.7
9198
#22
16.72.1
17.615.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
Third
17.21.0
13.914.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End1.3
red by 7.3
9724
#27
9.92.1
14.212.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned