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Red44
95598.7
572739.9
493520.7
Blue103
873849.0
693223.1
1010718.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627020408010012044103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+39
Endgame+49
Fouls+59
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +39
5Coral scored#14
17Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
27Total teleop66
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
2Foul points12
44Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#10
39.91.0
31.330.4
Auto5.7
Teleop32.8
End1.5
blue by 9.1
49.02.0
33.535.5
Auto10.2
Teleop36.8
End2.1
Second
4935
#11
20.71.0
17.216.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
blue by 2.4
6932
#17
23.12.0
17.119.1
Auto2.1
Teleop13.4
End7.6
Third
9559
#28
8.71.0
7.97.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 9.7
18.42.0
10.312.3
Auto4.3
Teleop11.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned