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Red78
960723.4
900512.7
350631.2
Blue166
789024.5
949681.2
688822.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53136010015020078166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+60
Endgame+58
Fouls+88
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
3Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +40
10Coral scored#20
35Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
59Total teleop99
Reef
4L4#9
2L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
15Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +88
0Foul points30
78Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#12
31.21.0
29.230.2
Auto4.1
Teleop21.4
End5.7
blue by 49.9
81.21.2
69.670.9
Auto18.3
Teleop55.7
End7.2
Second
9607
#15
23.41.0
15.716.7
Auto2.6
Teleop18.3
End2.4
blue by 1.2
7890
#14
24.51.2
25.726.9
Auto5.3
Teleop18.2
End1.1
Third
9005
#23
12.71.0
7.08.0
Auto1.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9
blue by 9.5
22.21.2
11.312.5
Auto2.0
Teleop15.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsEarned