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Red41
319626.7
929817.3
97249.9
Blue38
272429.4
1007721.4
776330.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions548602040801001201404138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+5Teleop
+1Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +11
6Coral scored#4
23Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
31Total teleop20
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
2Foul points0
41Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.7
22.822.2
Auto3.4
Teleop22.1
End1.1
blue by 4.3
7763
#24
30.92.4
28.025.6
Auto5.3
Teleop24.1
End1.6
Second
9298
#18
17.30.7
11.510.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End1.4
blue by 12.1
2724
#13
29.42.4
26.624.2
Auto7.5
Teleop19.4
End2.6
Third
9724
#27
9.91.1
12.110.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End3.1
blue by 11.5
21.44.0
16.312.3
Auto4.6
Teleop15.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed