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Red59
322923.2
368013.0
690815.2
Blue103
650238.3
345920.1
58751.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3312005010015020059103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+44
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +44
10Coral scored#16
36Coral points58
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
0Processor points18
8Net points12
8Algae points30
44Total teleop88
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
59Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.4
19.720.1
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End1.4
blue by 28.4
587
#3
51.60.7
44.443.8
Auto8.6
Teleop41.5
End1.5
Second
6908
#26
15.20.4
8.48.7
Auto3.0
Teleop11.3
End0.8
blue by 23.1
38.30.7
37.036.3
Auto6.8
Teleop30.1
End1.5
Third
3680
#21
13.00.4
8.38.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.8
blue by 7.1
3459
#20
20.10.7
15.014.3
Auto2.9
Teleop11.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed