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Red84
689434.6
493520.7
1041212.9
Blue62
690815.2
1007721.4
1030417.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7443020601001201401608462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+26Teleop
+28Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +22
11Coral scored#7
38Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
56Total teleop34
Reef
7L4#2
2L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
6Foul points12
84Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.9
29.730.6
Auto5.6
Teleop26.3
End2.7
red by 13.2
21.40.0
12.312.4
Auto4.6
Teleop15.6
End1.2
Second
4935
#11
20.70.5
16.216.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
red by 3.5
17.20.0
16.716.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End1.3
Third
12.90.9
13.514.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End-0.0
blue by 2.3
6908
#26
15.20.0
8.78.8
Auto3.0
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed