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Red63
95598.7
345920.1
272429.4
Blue102
919816.7
58751.6
322923.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5096015063102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+41
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +31
9Coral scored#18
32Coral points65
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
48Total teleop79
Reef
3L4#8
4L3#5
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
63Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2724
#13
29.40.4
24.224.6
Auto7.5
Teleop19.4
End2.6
blue by 22.2
587
#3
51.60.9
43.844.7
Auto8.6
Teleop41.5
End1.5
Second
3459
#20
20.10.4
14.314.8
Auto2.9
Teleop11.7
End5.5
blue by 3.1
23.20.9
20.121.0
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End1.4
Third
9559
#28
8.70.4
7.07.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 8.0
9198
#22
16.71.5
13.214.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed