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Red147
272429.4
572739.9
689434.6
Blue160
949681.2
58751.6
1010718.4
2%Model gave it98%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9115450200147160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+17
Endgame+19
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points33
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +7
18Coral scored#18
66Coral points63
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#9
18Processor points12
20Net points36
38Algae points48
104Total teleop111
Reef
9L4#10
5L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
6Foul points0
147Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#10
39.92.8
31.734.5
Auto5.7
Teleop32.8
End1.5
blue by 41.2
81.21.1
72.273.3
Auto18.3
Teleop55.7
End7.2
Second
34.64.7
30.635.3
Auto5.6
Teleop26.3
End2.7
blue by 17.0
587
#3
51.61.1
44.745.7
Auto8.6
Teleop41.5
End1.5
Third
2724
#13
29.42.8
24.627.4
Auto7.5
Teleop19.4
End2.6
red by 11.0
18.41.1
13.414.5
Auto4.3
Teleop11.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned47%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned