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Red87
345920.1
322923.2
493520.7
Blue32
929817.3
1030417.2
1041212.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604802040801001208732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+39Teleop
+49Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +42
11Coral scored#4
40Coral points14
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
12Processor points0
4Net points0
16Algae points0
56Total teleop14
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
6Foul points0
87Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.21.5
21.022.5
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End1.4
red by 5.9
9298
#18DQ
17.31.1
11.610.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End1.4
Second
4935
#11
20.71.5
16.818.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
red by 3.5
17.21.1
16.715.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End1.3
Third
3459
#20
20.11.5
14.816.3
Auto2.9
Teleop11.7
End5.5
red by 7.2
12.91.8
14.412.7
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned6%Barge oddsMissed