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Red48
345920.1
900512.7
650238.3
Blue112
572739.9
873849.0
690815.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73982040608012014016048112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+68
Endgame+64
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +58
6Coral scored#21
22Coral points74
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
36Total teleop94
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#6
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#26
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points0
48Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.31.6
35.934.3
Auto6.8
Teleop30.1
End1.5
blue by 10.7
49.01.3
37.138.4
Auto10.2
Teleop36.8
End2.1
Second
3459
#20
20.11.6
16.314.6
Auto2.9
Teleop11.7
End5.5
blue by 19.8
5727
#10
39.91.3
34.535.8
Auto5.7
Teleop32.8
End1.5
Third
9005
#23
12.71.6
10.18.4
Auto1.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9
blue by 2.4
6908
#26
15.21.3
9.110.4
Auto3.0
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed