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Red101
689434.6
776330.9
58751.6
Blue61
693223.1
493520.7
789024.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135745010015020010161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+52Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +38
16Coral scored#8
56Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
76Total teleop38
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#3
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
101Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#3
51.61.5
45.844.3
Auto8.6
Teleop41.5
End1.5
red by 27.1
7890
#14
24.51.2
26.925.6
Auto5.3
Teleop18.2
End1.1
Second
34.62.3
35.232.9
Auto5.6
Teleop26.3
End2.7
red by 11.5
6932
#17
23.11.2
18.717.5
Auto2.1
Teleop13.4
End7.6
Third
7763
#24
30.91.5
28.827.3
Auto5.3
Teleop24.1
End1.6
red by 10.2
4935
#11
20.71.2
19.518.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned