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Red102
919816.7
650238.3
949681.2
Blue92
929817.3
1010718.4
322923.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15342010020010292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+8Teleop
+16Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
11Coral scored#12
41Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
65Total teleop64
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#20
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points6
102Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.21.7
74.572.8
Auto18.3
Teleop55.7
End7.2
red by 57.9
23.22.3
22.424.7
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End1.4
Second
38.31.7
34.332.6
Auto6.8
Teleop30.1
End1.5
red by 19.9
18.42.3
14.416.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.9
End2.3
Third
9198
#22
16.72.6
13.310.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
blue by 0.6
9298
#18
17.32.3
8.811.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned7%Barge oddsEarned