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Red131
873849.0
319626.7
1007721.4
Blue101
1041212.9
960723.4
572739.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9278050150200131101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
14Coral scored#20
50Coral points72
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
18Processor points12
16Net points4
34Algae points16
84Total teleop88
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
24Foul points0
131Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.01.4
38.439.8
Auto10.2
Teleop36.8
End2.1
red by 9.1
5727
#10
39.91.4
35.837.2
Auto5.7
Teleop32.8
End1.5
Second
26.71.4
21.222.6
Auto3.4
Teleop22.1
End1.1
red by 3.3
9607
#15
23.41.4
17.118.5
Auto2.6
Teleop18.3
End2.4
Third
21.42.2
14.516.7
Auto4.6
Teleop15.6
End1.2
red by 8.5
12.92.1
12.414.6
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed