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Red63
688822.2
493520.7
690815.2
Blue63
345920.1
350631.2
1030417.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527502040601001201406363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+8Teleop
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
9Coral scored#7
34Coral points24
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
48Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
63Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.2
Auto2.0
Teleop15.3
End4.9
blue by 9.0
3506
#12
31.2
Auto4.1
Teleop21.4
End5.7
Second
4935
#11
20.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
red by 0.6
3459
#20
20.1
Auto2.9
Teleop11.7
End5.5
Third
6908
#26
15.2
Auto3.0
Teleop11.3
End0.8
blue by 2.0
17.2
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned