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Red60
689434.6
95598.7
929817.3
Blue139
693223.1
900512.7
650238.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617220408010012060139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+61
Endgame+73
Fouls+79
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +57
8Coral scored#17
28Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#7
6Processor points6
4Net points28
10Algae points34
38Total teleop95
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +79
6Foul points12
60Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.9
32.932.0
Auto5.6
Teleop26.3
End2.7
blue by 3.7
38.33.6
32.636.2
Auto6.8
Teleop30.1
End1.5
Second
9298
#18
17.30.6
11.110.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End1.4
blue by 5.8
6932
#17
23.13.6
17.521.0
Auto2.1
Teleop13.4
End7.6
Third
9559
#28
8.70.6
6.55.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 4.0
9005
#23
12.73.6
8.412.0
Auto1.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned