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Red58
97249.9
1041212.9
58751.6
Blue76
322923.2
319626.7
572739.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7398204060801201401605876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +15
8Coral scored#10
28Coral points35
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
40Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points12
58Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#3
51.60.4
44.343.9
Auto8.6
Teleop41.5
End1.5
red by 11.7
5727
#10
39.91.4
37.235.8
Auto5.7
Teleop32.8
End1.5
Second
12.90.6
14.613.9
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End-0.0
blue by 13.8
26.71.4
22.621.2
Auto3.4
Teleop22.1
End1.1
Third
9724
#27
9.90.6
5.75.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End3.1
blue by 13.4
23.21.4
24.723.3
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed