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Red84
789024.5
1010718.4
919816.7
Blue153
1007721.4
345920.1
949681.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54134010015020084153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+55
Endgame+63
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points21
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +44
10Coral scored#19
35Coral points69
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
59Total teleop103
Reef
6L4#12
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points6
84Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7890
#14
24.51.2
25.626.8
Auto5.3
Teleop18.2
End1.1
blue by 56.6
81.21.9
72.874.7
Auto18.3
Teleop55.7
End7.2
Second
18.41.2
16.717.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.9
End2.3
blue by 2.9
21.42.7
16.719.4
Auto4.6
Teleop15.6
End1.2
Third
9198
#22
16.71.7
10.712.4
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
blue by 3.4
3459
#20
20.11.9
14.616.5
Auto2.9
Teleop11.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned