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Red59
322923.2
1030417.2
900512.7
Blue86
319626.7
690815.2
689434.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658520401001201405986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+29
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +39
7Coral scored#14
26Coral points51
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
34Total teleop73
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
2Foul points0
59Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.5
23.322.8
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End1.4
blue by 11.4
34.60.7
32.032.6
Auto5.6
Teleop26.3
End2.7
Second
17.20.5
16.215.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End1.3
blue by 9.5
26.70.5
21.221.7
Auto3.4
Teleop22.1
End1.1
Third
9005
#23
12.70.5
12.011.5
Auto1.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9
blue by 2.4
6908
#26
15.20.5
10.410.9
Auto3.0
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed