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Red130
58751.6
960723.4
929817.3
Blue77
493520.7
97249.9
350631.2
88%Model gave it12%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions975805015013077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+51Teleop
+41Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +44
17Coral scored#9
61Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
89Total teleop45
Reef
10L4#5
5L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
12Foul points0
130Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#3
51.61.7
43.945.6
Auto8.6
Teleop41.5
End1.5
red by 20.4
3506
#12
31.20.8
27.027.7
Auto4.1
Teleop21.4
End5.7
Second
9607
#15
23.41.7
19.821.5
Auto2.6
Teleop18.3
End2.4
red by 2.7
4935
#11
20.70.8
18.219.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
Third
9298
#18
17.31.7
10.512.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End1.4
red by 7.4
9724
#27
9.91.0
5.16.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned