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Red61
1010718.4
95598.7
1007721.4
Blue219
688822.2
345920.1
873849.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4586010015020061219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+66
Endgame+86
Fouls+158
AutonomousBlue +5
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
15Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +61
8Coral scored#18
28Coral points65
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
0Processor points12
8Net points20
8Algae points32
36Total teleop97
Reef
3L4#9
3L3#7
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +158
6Foul points78
61Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.3
19.419.7
Auto4.6
Teleop15.6
End1.2
blue by 27.6
49.04.0
41.045.0
Auto10.2
Teleop36.8
End2.1
Second
18.40.2
17.918.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.9
End2.3
blue by 3.8
22.24.0
15.319.3
Auto2.0
Teleop15.3
End4.9
Third
9559
#28
8.70.2
5.86.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 11.4
3459
#20
20.14.0
16.520.5
Auto2.9
Teleop11.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned