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Red45
776330.9
650238.3
789024.5
Blue119
949681.2
272429.4
1041212.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105141608012016018020045119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+70
Endgame+74
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave0
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +46
8Coral scored#17
27Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
37Total teleop83
Reef
4L4#9
2L3#6
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
0Foul points0
45Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.33.5
36.232.7
Auto6.8
Teleop30.1
End1.5
blue by 42.9
81.20.2
74.774.5
Auto18.3
Teleop55.7
End7.2
Second
7763
#24
30.93.5
29.526.0
Auto5.3
Teleop24.1
End1.6
red by 1.5
2724
#13
29.40.2
28.127.8
Auto7.5
Teleop19.4
End2.6
Third
7890
#14
24.53.5
26.823.3
Auto5.3
Teleop18.2
End1.1
red by 11.7
12.90.3
13.913.6
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed