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Red83
919816.7
693223.1
319626.7
Blue88
572739.9
368013.0
493520.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68812040601001201408388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+3
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +18
11Coral scored#15
40Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
58Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points2
83Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.71.1
21.722.8
Auto3.4
Teleop22.1
End1.1
blue by 13.3
5727
#10
39.90.8
35.836.6
Auto5.7
Teleop32.8
End1.5
Second
6932
#17
23.11.1
21.022.1
Auto2.1
Teleop13.4
End7.6
red by 2.4
4935
#11
20.70.8
19.019.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
Third
9198
#22
16.71.4
12.413.8
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
red by 3.7
3680
#21
13.00.8
10.311.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed